6 How Fast Does the Tail Die?
Introduces tail decay as a spectrum rather than a binary:
def gaussian_tail(x):
from math import exp
return exp(-x**2 / 2) # decays super-fast
def exponential_tail(x, lam=1):
from math import exp
return exp(-lam * x) # decays fast
def pareto_tail(x, x_min=1, alpha=2):
return (x_min / x) ** alpha # decays slowly (polynomially)Plotting all three survival functions on the same log-log axes makes the qualitative difference vivid: Gaussian and exponential curves fall off a cliff; the Pareto curve just keeps sloping down. The organizing question for the rest of the book — “how quickly does \(\bar F(x)\) go to zero, and what does that speed cost you?” — is introduced here explicitly.